Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 14.489913 16.508292 18.664591 21.134908 23.881801 26.837506 30.253455
2024-11-03 12.166427 15.011499 18.257040 22.214535 26.889704 32.215883 38.720742
2024-11-10 10.929458 14.480104 18.772016 24.296059 31.166621 39.376441 49.868717
2024-11-17 9.549939 13.538068 18.628669 25.516560 34.494229 45.690476 60.585167
2024-11-24 8.017491 12.146904 17.704593 25.593057 36.338982 50.283695 69.530660
2024-12-01 6.585030 10.654587 16.423206 24.997548 37.178060 53.584285 77.014880
2024-12-08 5.590143 9.623473 15.624364 24.930680 38.664019 57.790132 85.945098
2024-12-15 4.890667 8.922282 15.195912 25.310241 40.758068 62.923577 96.439196
2024-12-22 4.190324 8.103682 14.471542 25.137066 41.980125 66.851280 105.431662
2024-12-29 3.879905 7.888810 14.665086 26.384999 45.415215 74.189415 119.768286
2025-01-05 3.444130 7.381283 14.305379 26.683915 47.362428 79.387431 131.194266
2025-01-12 2.911140 6.604910 13.383205 25.934009 47.534722 81.833211 138.537776
2025-01-19 2.412443 5.822201 12.371494 24.958055 47.308328 83.729600 145.310371
2025-01-26 2.238064 5.671696 12.506867 26.027014 50.617913 91.489323 161.776934
2025-02-02 2.211116 5.832805 13.255568 28.284078 56.149432 103.197653 185.203841
2025-02-09 2.079435 5.738954 13.487654 29.586547 60.075442 112.447313 205.080590
2025-02-16 1.840723 5.354752 13.080851 29.614428 61.688638 117.864359 218.873788
2025-02-23 1.571998 4.844813 12.340930 28.900344 61.858445 120.780864 228.578731
2025-03-02 1.386794 4.507818 11.928378 28.798762 63.155938 125.713796 241.929934
2025-03-09 1.260093 4.299654 11.774521 29.210976 65.452610 132.515812 258.789659
2025-03-16 1.109587 3.993912 11.353025 29.003396 66.501387 137.094865 271.928864
2025-03-23 1.066595 3.991513 11.655319 30.406274 70.867773 147.974845 296.741149
2025-03-30 0.970011 3.807815 11.488338 30.738517 73.062507 154.904406 314.713856